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SUNRISE MTN RIDGE'S
7 DAY DETAIL FORECAST FOR TUCSON FOOTHILLS, AZ.

National Weather Service Forecast for: 7 Miles NNE Tucson AZ
Issued by: National Weather Service Tucson, AZ
Updated: 9:58 pm MST Jul 22, 2019

Sunrise Mtn Ridge Tucson Az
 
Overnight

Overnight: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. East wind around 10 mph.
Chance
T-storms
Tuesday

Tuesday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am.  Partly sunny, with a high near 101. East southeast wind 6 to 13 mph.
Chance
T-storms
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then isolated showers.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. East southeast wind 5 to 8 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Scattered
T-storms
Wednesday

Wednesday: Isolated showers and thunderstorms after 11am.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 102. East southeast wind 6 to 8 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Isolated
T-storms
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Isolated showers and thunderstorms before 11pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. West southwest wind 3 to 6 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Isolated
T-storms then
Partly Cloudy
Thursday

Thursday: A 20 percent chance of rain after 11am.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 103.
Slight Chance
Rain
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Isolated showers and thunderstorms before 11pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 79. Chance of precipitation is 10%.
Isolated
T-storms then
Partly Cloudy
Friday

Friday: Isolated showers and thunderstorms after 11am.  Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 105. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Isolated
T-storms
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 11pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 80. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Scattered
T-storms then
Partly Cloudy

Lo 76 °F

Hi 101 °F

Lo 76 °F

Hi 102 °F

Lo 77 °F

Hi 103 °F

Lo 79 °F

Hi 105 °F

Lo 80 °F


 

Overnight
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. East wind around 10 mph.
Tuesday
 
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 101. East southeast wind 6 to 13 mph.
Tuesday Night
 
Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then isolated showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. East southeast wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Wednesday
 
Isolated showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 102. East southeast wind 6 to 8 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Wednesday Night
 
Isolated showers and thunderstorms before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. West southwest wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Thursday
 
A 20 percent chance of rain after 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 103.
Thursday Night
 
Isolated showers and thunderstorms before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 79. Chance of precipitation is 10%.
Friday
 
Isolated showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 105. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Friday Night
 
Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 80. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
 
A slight chance of rain before 11am, then isolated showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 105. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Saturday Night
 
Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 79. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Sunday
 
Scattered rain and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 104. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday Night
 
Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 78. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday
 
Scattered rain and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 102. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for 7 Miles NNE Tucson AZ.




Tucson, Az - Area Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion for TWC NWS Office
000
FXUS65 KTWC 222159
AFDTWC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
259 PM MST Mon Jul 22 2019

.SYNOPSIS...Ample moisture and favorable flow will result in
scattered to numerous thunderstorms this afternoon into tonight.
Blowing dust due to thunderstorm gusts appear increasingly likely
late this afternoon and early evening. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms will continue Tuesday and into the upcoming weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Large scale pattern and mesoscale features remain
favorable for organized thunderstorm activity with wet downburst
potential and strong organized outflow. Decent easterly storm level
flow with low level southerly inflow for 25-30kts of shear.
Surface based and ML CAPEs in the 1200 to 1800 J/kg range and nice
upper level diffluence. We had to wait an extra hour or so for
sufficient insolation due to earlier debris cloud clearing out
this morning. HRRR and UofA WRF models are doing pretty well again
today and still suggest broad strong outflow pushing from Tucson
to Phoenix late this afternoon into the evening. Our offices have
a blowing dust advisory to set the stage with an eye out for
possible warning levels below 1/4 mile. Marginal severe risk from
SPC and Slight on the excessive rainfall outlook from WPC both
look good. After a busy late afternoon and evening, some showers
will linger embedded in the debris could overnight.

For tomorrow, our high center remains consolidated near the
4-corners region with a nice easterly steering flow continuing
for storms. Deterministic GEFS/ECMWF have a weak impulse under the
high in southwest New Mexico shifting into SE AZ tomorrow
afternoon. That, combined with an above average flow may be enough
to reset for another solid chance of thunderstorms across the
area tomorrow afternoon and evening.

As we maintain this mid level easterly flow through mid week, it
will weaken a little and entrain a little bit of dry air, but we
should maintain enough lower level and boundary layer moisture to
recycle into some afternoon thunderstorms. However, there may be
days where they are not as well supported in valleys such as
Wed/Thu. With the high center finally in a position where it
wobbles back and forth overhead to northwest to northeast of us,
the overall trend will be better than the past couple of weeks
with up days and down days.

&&

.AVIATION...Valid through 24/00Z.
Scattered to numerous TSRA/SHRA starting from the White Mountains to
the Huachucas will move westward to the west of KTUS. This will
mainly affect KTUS, KOLS, and KSAD. Scattered to numerous -TSRA/-
SHRA continuing area-wide tonight as well which will continue to
affect KTUS and KOLS but should bring impacts to KDUG as well. Wind
gusts up to 55 kts may occur with the strongest TSRA.

Otherwise, cloud decks mainly 10k-15k ft MSL except MFVR cigs and
vsbys and potentially brief IFR conditions with strongest TSRA this
afternoon into tonight. Aside from tstm gusts, surface wind today
KTUS vicinity westward nwly 8-16 kts with gusts near 20 kts.
Surface wind today vicinity KSAD to KDUG ely to sely 8-18 kts with
gusts near 25 kts. Surface wind area-wide by end of period ely/sely
8-18 kts with gusts to 25 kts. Aviation discussion not updated for
TAF amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Scattered to numerous thunderstorms continue
throughout the afternoon and tonight. Scattered mainly afternoon and
evening thunderstorms will prevail Tuesday into next Sunday. Expect
gusty and erratic winds near thunderstorms. Otherwise, 20-foot winds
Tuesday will be from the east to southeast mainly under 15 mph. 20-
foot winds Wednesday into Sunday will be primarily terrain driven at
less than 15 mph.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Blowing Dust Advisory until 9 PM MST this evening for AZZ501-502-
504>506.

&&

$$

Meyer/Pawlak

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NWS TWC Office Area Forecast Discussion




Local Weather Statements, Watches And Warnings

There are no active watches, warnings or advisories for zone AZZ504.

Pepper Ridge Weather Station


Page Last Updated Apr 6th, 2015

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