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SUNRISE MTN RIDGE'S
7 DAY DETAIL FORECAST FOR TUCSON FOOTHILLS, AZ.

National Weather Service Forecast for: 7 Miles NNE Tucson AZ
Issued by: National Weather Service Tucson, AZ
Updated: 2:16 pm MST Jun 22, 2018

Sunrise Mtn Ridge Tucson Az
 
Overnight

Overnight: Clear, with a low around 74. East southeast wind 3 to 6 mph.
Clear
Saturday

Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 102. South southeast wind 5 to 14 mph becoming west in the afternoon.
Sunny
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Clear, with a low around 74. West southwest wind 6 to 13 mph.
Clear
Sunday

Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 99. Southwest wind 6 to 11 mph.
Sunny
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Clear, with a low around 72. West wind 5 to 9 mph becoming light  after midnight.
Clear
Monday

Monday: Sunny, with a high near 101.
Sunny
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 73.
Mostly Clear
Tuesday

Tuesday: Sunny and hot, with a high near 107.
Hot
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 75.
Mostly Clear

Lo 74 °F

Hi 102 °F

Lo 74 °F

Hi 99 °F

Lo 72 °F

Hi 101 °F

Lo 73 °F

Hi 107 °F

Lo 75 °F


 

Overnight
 
Clear, with a low around 74. East southeast wind 3 to 6 mph.
Saturday
 
Sunny, with a high near 102. South southeast wind 5 to 14 mph becoming west in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
 
Clear, with a low around 74. West southwest wind 6 to 13 mph.
Sunday
 
Sunny, with a high near 99. Southwest wind 6 to 11 mph.
Sunday Night
 
Clear, with a low around 72. West wind 5 to 9 mph becoming light after midnight.
Monday
 
Sunny, with a high near 101.
Monday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 73.
Tuesday
 
Sunny and hot, with a high near 107.
Tuesday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 75.
Wednesday
 
Sunny and hot, with a high near 108.
Wednesday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 75.
Thursday
 
Sunny and hot, with a high near 107.
Thursday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 75.
Friday
 
Sunny and hot, with a high near 106.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for 7 Miles NNE Tucson AZ.




Tucson, Az - Area Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion for TWC NWS Office
000
FXUS65 KTWC 230430
AFDTWC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
930 PM MST Fri Jun 22 2018

.SYNOPSIS...Dry conditions continuing this weekend and during the
upcoming work week. Daytime temperatures moderating a few to several
degrees this weekend before increasing again by the middle of the
upcoming week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Clear skies prevail across southeast Arizona at this
time. Dew points at lower elevations valid 9 pm MST ranged from the
mid teens across the Upper Gila River Valley to the upper 30s across
western Pima County. 23/00Z KTWC sounding total precip water value
was just 0.28 inch, down 0.10 inch versus 24 hours ago. Surface
winds valid 9 pm MST east of Tucson were westerly to northwesterly
at 10-15 mph. Surface winds from Tucson westward into the western
deserts were variable in direction less than 10 mph.

IR satellite imagery and surface observations depicted scattered to
broken mid and high level clouds across Utah extending southward
into northern Arizona. Satellite trajectories as well as 23/00Z
NAM12 and GFS moisture fields suggest the bulk of these clouds will
remain north of this forecast area the rest of tonight. However,
cannot rule out a few cirriform clouds encroaching mainly upon
northern sections by daybreak Saturday.

Have noted that these model solutions were similar versus their
respective 22/12Z solutions in depicting a modest increase in
surface-700 mb layer moisture Saturday, and even more so Saturday
night into Sunday morning. Although no rainfall is expected to
occur, this moisture increase may be sufficient for a few high-based
cumulus clouds to develop Saturday before likely dissipating
Saturday evening.

Have also noted that the 23/00Z MAV/MET guidance high temps for
Saturday was generally a couple of degrees or so warmer versus the
inherited forecast. Have opted to adjust high temps Saturday upward
accordingly. Otherwise, please refer to the additional sections in
this product for further detail.

&&

.AVIATION...Valid through 24/06Z.
Clear skies into Saturday morning, then a few clouds at 10k-15k ft
AGL may develop Saturday afternoon before dissipating Saturday
evening. Surface wind late Saturday morning into early Saturday
evening swly to nwly 8-20 kts with gusts near 30 kts. The strongest
speeds should occur northeast of KTUS and especially in vicinity of
KSAD. Surface wind variable in direction mostly less than 12 kts at
other times. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Dry conditions at least through the middle of the
upcoming week. A few afternoon and evening thunderstorms may
encroach upon far eastern and southern sections by next Friday.
However, forecast confidence is quite low regarding this scenario.
Some gusty southwest to northwest winds will occur this weekend,
with the strongest speeds expected across the Upper Gila River
Valley including Safford. Thereafter, 20-foot winds will mainly be
less than 15 mph with occasional afternoon gusts.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /207 PM MST/...Our pattern continues with the
westerlies a little too deep for more monsoon activity. High
pressure strengthening overhead today with an excessive heat warning
for many of our mid to lower valley locations and lower deserts.
Then, troughiness (a little deeper than normal for late June)
through the front range of the Rockies will help cool things down to
average values for late June by Sunday.

There should be room for the high to rebound a little further
northward early in the new week, with temps jumping up to several
degrees above average once again by Tuesday.

Keeping an eye on the easterly wave activity across central
Mexico. They`re coming across and exiting into the eastern Pacific
just south of the Gulf of CA. As the westerlies weaken and lift a
little further northward next week, it should allow that activity
to track further north as well. A few storms near eastern
mountains not out of the question later next week, but ultimately
most mid range model resolutions and ensembles argue we aren`t
done with pesky westerly flows cutting that off again.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

Francis/Meyer

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NWS TWC Office Area Forecast Discussion




Local Weather Statements, Watches And Warnings

There are no active watches, warnings or advisories for zone AZZ504.

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